The Future of Hypertext
http://www.useit.com/papers/hypertextfuture.html

Nielsen, Jakob
Alertbox
1995

Abstract:

In the short term of three to five years, I don't really expect significant changes in the way hypertext is done compared to the currently known systems. Of course new stuff will be invented all the time, but just getting the things we already have in the laboratory out into the world will be more than enough. I expect to see three major changes: the consolidation of the mass market for hypertext; commercial information services on the Internet; the integration of hypertext and other computer facilities.